Sunshine By Design
The Sunshine By Design Imprint
Communicating Climate Change More Effectively
Despite the mounting evidence, a Gallup poll conducted earlier this year found that 48% of Americans believe that global warming concerns are exaggerated, and 19% think global warming will never happen.
In 1997, only 31% of those who were asked the same question in a Gallup poll felt the claims were overstated.
Dire or emotionally charged warnings about the consequences of global warming can backfire if presented too negatively, making people less amenable to reducing their carbon footprint, according to new research from the University of California, Berkeley.
Viewpoint is that "the world is safe, stable and fair"
"Our study indicates that the potentially devastating consequences of global warming threaten people's fundamental tendency to see the world as safe, stable and fair. As a result, people may respond by discounting evidence for global warming," said Robb Willer, UC Berkeley social psychologist and coauthor of a study to be published in the January issue of the journal Psychological Science.
It takes more than facts to communicate -- human communications is more about psychology than engineering.
"The scarier the message, the more people who are committed to viewing the world as fundamentally stable and fair are motivated to deny it," agreed Matthew Feinberg, a doctoral student in psychology and coauthor of the study.
Moderate Views + Solutions = More Realistic Viewpoint
But if scientists and advocates can communicate their findings in less apocalyptic ways, and present solutions to global warming, Willer said, most people can get past their skepticism.
Recent decades have seen a growing scientific consensus on the existence of a warming of global land and ocean temperatures. A significant part of the warming trend has been attributed to human activities that produce greenhouse gas emissions.
I have to admit, hearing that the total predicted temperature change is only 2 degrees -- when I'm familiar with 30 degree temperature swings in a day in Oklahoma... well, that 2 degrees just doesn't sound very dire. But that's were logical + creative communications also comes in. How does that fit into this trend?
What's Behind the Contradictory Communications and Belief Trend?
In light of the contradictory trend, Feinberg and Willer sought to investigate the psychology behind attitudes about climate change.
In the first of two experiments, 97 UC Berkeley undergraduates were gauged for their political attitudes, skepticism about global warming and level of belief in whether the world is just or unjust. Rated on a "just world scale," which measures people's belief in a just world for themselves and others, participants were asked how much they agree with such statements as "I believe that, by and large, people get what they deserve,” and “I am confident that justice always prevails over injustice."
Next, participants read a news article about global warming. The article started out with factual data provided by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change. But while half the participants received articles that ended with warnings about the apocalyptic consequences of global warming, the other half read ones that concluded with positive messages focused on potential solutions to global warming, such as technological innovations that could reduce carbon emissions.
Positive Messages Nurture Faith and Hope
Results showed that those who read the positive messages were more open to believing in the existence of global warming and had more faith in science’s ability to solve the problem. Moreover, those who scored high on the just world scale were less skeptical about global warming when exposed to the positive message.
Doomsday Messages Nurture Skepticism
By contrast, those exposed to doomsday messages became more skeptical about global warming, particularly those who scored high on the just world scale.
Belief in a Just World Nurtures Skepticism
In the second experiment, involving 45 volunteers recruited from 30 U.S. cities via Craigslist, researchers looked specifically at whether increasing one's belief in a just world would increase his or her skepticism about global warming.
They had half the volunteers unscramble sentences such as "prevails justice always” so they would be more likely to take a just world view when doing the research exercises. They then showed them a video featuring innocent children being put in harm’s way to illustrate the threat of global warming to future generations.
Those who had been primed for a just world view responded to the video with heightened skepticism towards global warming and less willingness to change their lifestyles to reduce their carbon footprint, according to the results.
Skip the Fear -- Share Clear Solutions
Overall, the study concludes, "Fear-based appeals, especially when not coupled with a clear solution, can backfire and undermine the intended effects of messages."